US Marshals to Auction 50,000 Bitcoins in March


US Marshals


The US Marshals service has announced it will auction off 50,000 BTC, worth 11.85m at press time, to the public on 5th March.


The auction will take place from 8:00 EST to 14:00 EST, with bids being accepted only by pre-registered participants. Bidders must complete the registration process by 2nd March to be eligible, while winning bidders will be notified 6th March.


As in previous auctions, the 50,000 BTC will be split into smaller auction blocks. This time 20 in total will be auctioned, with 10 blocks of 2,000 BTC and 10 blocks of 3,000 BTC for sale.


The federal agency, which manages assets seized during criminal investigations, obtained the coins from original owner Ross Ulbricht, who was recently convicted of running the online black market Silk Road and now awaits sentencing.


The news follows statements to CoinDesk in January that indicated the agency would plan to move forward with another bitcoin auction in the first quarter of 2015.


Image via Wikipedia


AuctionsRoss UlbrichtSilk RoadUS Marshals Service



February 18, 2015 at 05:45PM

Look out NASDAQ, Here Comes the Winklevoss Gemini Exchange


“Gemini” means twins in Latin, and it’s also the name of the new Bitcoin exchange created by super-entrepreneurs and venture capitalists Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss. After its public launch in the spring, the New York -based Gemini exchange, announced in January on the Winklevoss Capital website, will be a fully regulated Bitcoin exchange built on rock-solid compliance and backed by the U.S. regulatory and banking infrastructure. The Winklevoss twins discussed their plans in an interview with Vice News.


Last month, investors including three of the world’s most respected financial institutions – The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), a subsidiary of USAA, and BBVA Ventures – invested $75 million in the Bitcoin service provider Coinbase, bringing its total capital to $106 million. According to Coinbase, that was the first time financial institutions made a major investment in a Bitcoin company. Besides buying and selling Bitcoin, the Coinbase Exchange allows customers worldwide to hold and use US dollars. Therefore, as noted by David Bailey in a recent Bitcoin Magazine article, Coinbase can be considered as the first global bank, and “the AOL of Bitcoin.”


Not so fast, say the Winklevoss twins. In their opinion, Coinbase launched their exchange before completing the necessary regulatory homework. Vice News reports that regulators in New York and California haven’t yet issued all the applicable licenses. Mark Williams, a finance professor at Boston University, believes that Coinbase’s attempt to start business without all the required licenses was very risky. According to him, building trust with regulators is key to Bitcoin’s future.


The Winklevoss twins believe that the main selling point of Gemini will be its strict compliance with all applicable regulations and its firm base in the US banking system – a major U.S. bank is involved, and no money will cross borders.


According to a statement issued by the twins: “[I]t’s a U.S. home for people, where they don’t have to wire their money overseas, where their money can actually stay in America, where they can buy and sell bitcoin from a company that’s regulated and has consumer protections. We see this as really critical infrastructure to building bitcoin and realizing its potential. [W]e’ve had open dialogue with regulators for almost a year now and we feel that we’re close and we want to make sure that we truly [are] licensed, that’s one of our principles. We don’t want to half bake it, or hack our way through and be on the fringe of it, we really want to do this the right way and get the blessing of the regulators. And we do feel that that’s around the corner.”


An interesting issue raised by the Vice News article is the “sell-out” of Bitcoin, which apparently is taking distance from its cypherpunk roots in underground crypto-anarchist circles and embracing Big Capital and Big Government. Is the mainstreaming of Bitcoin is inevitable and necessary for its adoption by the masses? Some say the nature of the Bitcoin protocol makes it impossible to completely eliminate its potential for anonymous and untraceable transactions. Is that is the case, even in a Bitcoin economy that becomes more and more mainstream and regulated, there will always be underground pockets of unconstrained use.


In addition to Gemini, the Winklevosses are planning a Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund (ETF), the Winklevoss Bitcoin Trust ETF, which will be available to all investors on NASDAQ with the ticker COIN. The launch date is unknown, but the twins told Inside Bitcoins that everything is proceeding according to plan.


They added: “For those who are up for that and want to actually buy and sell bitcoin the asset, they can do so at Gemini.com. For those that just want bitcoin asset exposure or those, like institutions, pension plans, 401(k)s, etc., that cannot invest in bitcoin themselves, their only avenue to gain bitcoin exposure will be through a structure like an ETF where they are purchasing a security and not the underlying asset itself.”


According to the SEC filing, the value of COIN shares will reflect the dollar exchange rate of Bitcoin on Winkdex. That will be an interesting option for those traditional investors who are persuaded that the dollar exchange rate of Bitcoin will rise in the mid- and long term, but prefer not to hold Bitcoin.


Images via Gemini.



February 17, 2015 at 06:01PM

The AOL of Bitcoin Has Arrived: Coinbase Launches First True Global Bank


The internet was a vague idea for most people, before AOL arrived and gave the world a usable, daily internet access tool. The recent launch of Coinbase Exchange will change Bitcoin no less spectacularly. If you need further evidence, compare the early user growth rates of AOL with those of Coinbase. Coinbase adoption rates are significantly outpacing those that AOL made history with back in the early 1990s.


Here’s how and why.


Since Bitcoin growth rates seem to be stagnating compared to their 2013-2014 highs, most of us are accustomed now to leadership and innovation in the industry coming from the heavily venture-backed companies. From the standpoint of a VC, the space has matured over the past year from a field of slim pickings to one filled with heavyweights such as Coinbase, BitPay, Circle, BitGo, ChangeTip, BitFury, Chain, BitNet, OkCoin, Blockchain and many more. Amazing teams, amazing businesses, incredible growth trajectory and promise. If you haven’t been watching closely, you may have missed this transformation.


The recent news of Coinbase’s $75 million series C and the fruit of their labor, the Coinbase Exchange, was well publicized. However, few took note of the company’s rollout of fiat-backed accounts. On a pragmatic level, this means you can now sell your bitcoin and hold local currency with Coinbase. Individually these announcements are exciting, but in unison they represent a game changer. Bitcoin, beyond its philosophical or technological promise, has finally gained legal utility.


Let me lay this out for you in more detail.


Coinbase just used its Bitcoin foundation to become the world’s first global bank. Let that sink in. Sure, there are international banks, but operationally these banks function more as group of allied national banks who share a brand. That is not the same thing as a global bank. A customer in Greece, for example, who opens an account with Coinbase, is now doing business directly with a U.S.-based “bank.”


Thanks to Coinbase’s $75 million funding round provided by the NYSE, large U.S. banks, a multinational telecom company and a roster of finance VIPs, you can now open an account in a country such as Poland or Greece, fund your account via bitcoin or wire, and hold your money in U.S. dollars in the comparatively stable U.S.A. Your money is now completely insulated from your local currency issues, but spends the same as euros in your local bank account. This is the best of both worlds: all the functionality of your existing bank (and more), without the associated risks and fees. In addition to the banking services, Coinbase has just created the easiest, cheapest, least corrupt and most secure way to buy dollars. I imagine we’ll see an increasing number of local currencies you can hold in your account, too.


This week has seen an additional series of important announcements from Coinbase. On February 10, the company announced that it has expanded its bitcoin buy-and-sell functionality to five additional countries: the Czech Republic, Hungary, Bulgaria, Norway and Croatia. This brings the total number of countries where Coinbase’s buy-and-sell features are available to 24, with its wallet functionality available in 166 others.


All Coinbase needs now is a debit card and they could complete the circle. What if Coinbase gets shut down locally? If they were smart, they’d shut down operations in that country and refund everyone their deposits in bitcoin. Let the customer unload it locally at a small discount. The result: risk-free dollars. Funded by the NYSE. And INSURED.


If you are an exchange, it is imperative that you start taking notes and start moving fast. Coinbase has created the world’s first truly global bank, with features and low fees that a legacy bank is technically incapable of offering, unless they use Bitcoin.


Congratulations are in order for Coinbase. This was no easy feat. But surely now, other financial institutions have taken note of BBVA and USAA involvement, and will be looking for their own play in the space. As soon as Coinbase turns on the marketing engine that brands it as a gateway for USD, Coinbase use will surge internationally and, by its nature, introduce those users to the world of Bitcoin. Consumers have a use case, businesses have a use case, and the best-performing venture investors are salivating. Now it’s just a race to the first 10 million users.



February 13, 2015 at 08:37PM

Bitcoin Trending Issues Explored at First Satoshi Roundtable

satoshiroundtable3




There was no holding back on opinion, speculation or creativity at the first annual Satoshi Roundtable, an invitation-only gathering of 50 Bitcoin entrepreneurs at Punta Cana, Dominican Republic, February 6-8, 2015. According to attendees, the private, limited-attendance nature of the event created a venue for open discussion and commentary.


According to Bruce Fenton of the Bitcoin Association and Atlantic Financial, who organized the event with Anthony Di Iorio of Ethereum, many CEOs hold back on their commentary in public for fear of drawing the attention and ire of regulators, the media or competitors. To establish an atmosphere that would allow participants to freely explore current issues, problems and opportunities in Bitcoin, the event organizers elected to keep the event small and private.


The event’s website list of confirmed attendees included notable Bitcoin CEOs, entrepreneurs and early adopters such as Rodger Ver, Erik Voorhees, Charlie Lee, Vitalik Buterin and Nic Cary.


Hints are now being released of trending issues and prognostications that surfaced after two days of sessions:



  • Mining Hardware Sales Down – A tectonic shift in the economics of mining has led to a downturn in hardware sales, with one manufacturer reporting a 95 percent drop.

  • Multisig – Industry experts predict that 2015 will be the year of mass adoptions for multisig wallets among consumers and businesses. If your product does not have multisig capabilities, it is behind the curve of progress for security measures.

  • Mining Fees Gaining Prominence – Fees will become more prevalent as a critical component of the economic feasibility of mining, especially as the next halving approaches in early 2016.

  • Bitcoin ATMs – Given the high hardware costs and overhead of operation, we will probably see these first coming into play under the umbrellas of the larger Bitcoin brand names who have the ability to amortize the expense.

  • Mining End Cost Profile Shrinking – Conference attendees concluded that to be profitable, a mining enterprise now must operate with total end costs of less than nine cents per kilowatt hour. Forecast: less efficient miners fade away while the highly efficient and those with cheap power thrive.


For the most part, the conference was very informal, with many casual conversations and much information shared about the health and growth of individual entrepreneur’s businesses. Bitcoin Magazine will continue to release news and information from the conference as it becomes available.


Images via satoshiroundable.org




February 12, 2015 at 06:53PM

Survey: 8% of US Retailers Plan to Accept Bitcoin in the Next Year


An online survey has found that 8% of US retailers say they are planning to accept bitcoin within the next 12 months.


The data, collected by the Boston Retail Partners, after surveying 500 retailers across the US, showed that none of the businesses were currently accepting bitcoin, whilst 5% have plans to adopt it within three years.


Screen Shot 2015-02-11 at 12.06.59


In contrast, the report found that PayPal was the most widely accepted alternative payment type. The payment processor is already accepted by 13% of those surveyed, whilst 49% plan on adopting it in the next three years.


Apple Pay, arguably the biggest threat to bitcoin, is only accepted by 8% of retailers, although an additional 48% have plans to accept it within three years.


The Google Wallet is currently being used by 3% of surveyed retailers, but 28% have plans to integrate the payment method in the next three years.


The survey also found that "payment security, real-time retail and implementing a unified commerce platform", were the top focus areas for retailers.


MerchantsPaymentssurveys



February 11, 2015 at 03:48PM

Twisted History of Ripple and Stellar Aired in Tell-All Report


newspaper


observer


In what can only be described as a bombshell report, The Observer has published a near 15,000-word story that takes a detailed look at the allegedly sordid history of decentralized payment network startups Ripple Labs and Stellar, and the impact of this relationship on events in the wider bitcoin ecosystem.


“The interpersonal story of Stellar and Ripple Labs is emblematic of the turmoil roiling the entire industry,” the article, penned by Michael Craig, reads. “It has everything: sex, huge money, fraud, genius, betrayal, international intrigue and government raids.”


Of particular note are the stories main participants Jed McCaleb, the founder of now-defunct bitcoin exchange Mt Gox, Ripple Labs and Stellar, and Stellar executive director Joyce Kim who bear the brunt of the article's barbs.


The Observer reports that McCaleb and Kim have long had a personal relationship that complicated McCaleb’s relationship with other senior executives and board members at Ripple Labs, and ultimately lead McCaleb to leave that company and found competitor Stellar.


Also included in the report are allegations that hit home far beyond the companies themselves, as it suggests the feud at the two companies has had implications for mobile payments startup Stripe and banking giant Wells Fargo, among others.


Wells Fargo bitcoin unit collapses


Of all the details included in the report, however, none perhaps has greater relevance than the revelation that US banking giant Wells Fargo had assembled a task force compromising 20 of its “top executives and advisors” that was aimed at finding ways it could become the first bank to embrace cryptocurrency.


The report argues that due to a combination of the Mt Gox collapse, the closure of Silk Road and McCaleb’s personal track record, the unit was disbanded in 2014.


“Predictably, Wells got cold feet,” Craig writes. “At the bank, the crypto blackout was so severe that it extended not only to shutting the accounts that cleared funds for crypto companies, but even those companies’ operating accounts … were shut down.”


This includes the account held by Ripple Labs, whose CEO Chris Larsen, the paper said, had a more than 20-year relationship with the bank prior to the decision.


“The problem is your connection to Mr McCaleb,” Larsen was told, according to the report. “The guy founded Mt Gox. You’ve got to get that guy out of there or we won’t bank you.”


At the time, McCaleb was no longer with the company, but the report suggests even his association as a board member was “enough to make Wells Fargo skittish” and move ahead with the dismantling of its nascent cryptocurrency initiative.


Turbulent times at Ripple


Speaking to the Observer, Kraken CEO and Ripple Labs investor Jesse Powell indicated that he first introduced McCaleb and Kim, and that before long, Ripple had purchased Kim’s company SimpleHoney and brought her into the team.


The Observer described her tenure as one that was not only rocky, but saw her attempting to play up her importance and that of McCaleb. Eventually, the report argues that Larsen needed to intervene.


“Chris sat her down and was like, ‘Joyce you’re a CEO. It’s going to be hard fitting in. You’re obviously reporting to me. Two cultures coming together is always a hard thing. Let’s talk about everything before we do it just to make sure everything is good.’ And Joyce just of course wouldn’t hear of it,” an insider said.


Kim is alleged as having a “Yoko Ono” role at the company, according to those who spoke to the report.


“This is Jed’s thing, when you’re in a private conversation with him all of a sudden Joyce is CC’d on this private conversation, even when the conversation includes the person saying, ‘I don’t want you to share this with Joyce.’ So not only does he disregard that request but he’s letting you know she knows you don’t like her,” another source said.


Kim’s tenure lasted only six weeks. McCaleb, the report contends, soon “lost interest” in the project.


Stripe deal squashed


The end result of the ensuing turmoil is that a deal that would have seen Ripple Labs be purchased by Stripe for $13m in cash never came to pass. The Observer indicated it was unable to uncover an exact reason for the deal’s demise.


Yet, another sticking point however, was that most of the leadership team at Ripple Labs held significant holdings of XRP. McCaleb and Larsen, for example, both owned 9bn XRP, a factor that discouraged many in the wider bitcoin market from trusting the company.


At the time, Powell also sought to intervene to fix what he described as the company’s ongoing PR problem.


All of the problems came together, the report said, in a meeting in which McCaleb attempted to have Larsen removed from the company for reasons not disclosed.


Larsen kept his role, however, by a 5-1 vote, with McCaleb providing the dissenting voice.


“Every single person begged Jed not to make us choose between him and Chris,” said Roger Ver, a VC investor in Ripple Labs. “In the end, the vote was unanimous that Chris should stay. The only person who disagreed was Jed.”


Attacks on Stellar


McCaleb would go on to found Stellar, taking a $3m investment from Stripe, though the article questions the nature of the relationship between the companies.


For example, Stellar’s former head of community told the publication that the two companies are quite close, with everything Stellar does having to go through Stripe.


Still, Stripe’s relationship with Wells Fargo, the report suggested, has put limits on how close the two companies can publicly appear.


The report quoted those close to co-founder Patrick Collison as describing him as privately dismissive of banks, while highlighting the reliance the San Francisco-based payments company has on institutions like Wells Fargo.


The article went on to question Stripe’s designation as a non-profit, arguing that tax experts believe this claim won’t hold up under regulatory scrutiny.


“Once the IRS pieces together how Stellar benefits McCaleb, Patrick Collison and any other insiders receiving STRs or fattening up in the initial distribution, it will likely find the venture inconsistent with the charitable purpose of the 501(c)(3) exemption,” the report reads.


Article’s accuracy questioned


Following the publication of the article, CoinDesk reached out to the parties involved for their take on the report and its implications.


Perhaps unsurprisingly, McCaleb moved to denounce the article as one that failed to capture the facts of the story.


"Given the vast amount of inaccuracies and innuendo in the article, it is not worth commenting on. The bias in the article is so obvious no one can take it seriously,” he said.


CoinDesk reached out to Kim and Ripple Labs for comment, but has not received an immediate response.


Newspaper image via Shutterstock


Chris LarsenJed McCalebRipple LabsStellarStripe



February 05, 2015 at 11:22PM

Central Bank of Italy Declares Virtual Currency Exchanges Are Not Subject to AML Requirements


The Central Bank of Italy (Banca d’Italia) is that country’s first governmental authority to issue a statement on virtual currencies. It recently published three directives:



  1. Warnings on use of virtual currencies (30 Jan 2015);

  2. Notice on virtual currencies (30 Jan 2015);

  3. Notice of Central Authority for Reporting on virtual currencies (2nd Feb 2015).


The “Notice About the use of virtual currencies” (published on the Supervisory Bulletin No. 1, January 2015) is a summary of guidance previously issued by the European Central Bank (ECB), the European Banking Authority (EBA), and the Financial Action Task Force. The Central Bank of Italy is the first to release any statements based on the ECB’s comments. The Notice clarifies the legal status of virtual currencies in Italy with this important statement:


“In Italy the purchase, use and acceptance of virtual currency must be considered lawful activity: the parties are free to transact in amounts not expressed in legal tender.”


The January 30 Notice on virtual currencies also contains an analysis of the guidance published by the EBA, and agrees with the EBA’s recommendation that financial institutions should avoid buying or investing in virtual currencies until a formal legal framework has been established. This means the Central Bank will not ban regulated institutions from dealing in Bitcoin and other virtual currencies, but advises them to wait until formal regulations are announced.


The Notice allows financial institutions regulated by the Bank of Italy to do business with any virtual currency companies, provided that they respect existing AML/KYC requirements for account holders and warn them about the risks involved.


The Notice of Central Authority for Reporting on virtual currencies of Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) warns that using virtual currencies may enable money laundering and terrorist financing, as previously discussed by the ECB and other European authorities. The FIU states that businesses dealing in virtual currencies, including holding them and exchanging them for fiat currencies, are not required to comply with any AML/KYC regulations.


A reading of the documents released by both the Central Bank of Italy and the FIU indicates that a business that transacts in virtual currencies is not subject to any regulation at this time. However, the owners of such businesses would be subject to existing AML/KYC requirements when setting up a bank account or dealing with a regulated financial institution. In that case, virtual currency activities are not subject to any unique regulations; instead the activities are regulated where they intersect with the existing AML requirements of the Italian financial system.


Italy is the first country to declare that virtual currency exchanges are not subject to any AML requirements. This is in contrast to the United States, where exchanges are required to register with the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) as Money Services Businesses.


The FIU concludes with a recommendation that regulated financial institutions evaluate their own clients to screen for suspicious transactions. It also recommends that financial institutions educate their staff about virtual currencies and how to identify suspicious transactions, with a particular focus on gaming operators.



February 04, 2015 at 06:28PM

This week on Decentral Talk Live

decentralweek




Bitsquare is an open source, completely decentralized bitcoin exchange. Founder and developer, Manfred Karrer, discusses his project and his ideals with Ethan Wilding and guest host, Hai Nguyen. Bitsquare is based on the concept of “no single point of failure” and decentralization. Karrer also discusses the concept of peer-to-peer arbitration.


Andrew Lee of purse.io answers questions partially sourced from the bitcoin community. Purse.io’s model of selling Amazon giftcards for bitcoins is both controversial and exciting for people who want to buy bitcoins without going through the lengthy verification processes associated with exchanges. It also facilitates purchases through Amazon at a discount for people who want to shop with bitcoin. The DTL audience sent in some hard-hitting questions, and Andrew Lee has promised to answer them “head-on.”


Other guests this week will include Gerald Cotten of the Canadian exchange, QuadricaCX, as well as Mitchell Callahan, founder of Saucal, a marketing and brand development company that integrates bitcoin into its clients’ growth strategies.


Check out past videos at decentral.tv.




February 02, 2015 at 04:38PM

Bitcoin: Perhaps the Most Promising Investment Opportunity of Our Age


A technology is called “disruptive” if it creates a new market that first disturbs and then displaces an earlier technology. Bitcoin is potentially such a technology and much more. The fact that it can disrupt the largest and most interconnected marketplace in the world—money, banking, and finance—makes it perhaps the most promising investment opportunity of our age.


Unlike our current increasingly unstable and unpredictable financial system, Bitcoin has 21st century technologies at its very core. The digital currency and clearing network is open source, mobile, peer-to-peer, cryptographically protected, privacy oriented and native to the Internet. The fusion of these technologies allows for a level of security and efficiency unprecedented in the world of finance. These are some of the areas in which Bitcoin-oriented technology can directly compete:



  • $2 trillion annual market for electronic payments,

  • $1 trillion annual e-commerce market,

  • $514 billion annual remittance market,

  • $2.3 trillion hedge fund market,

  • $7 trillion gold market,

  • $4.5 trillion cash market,

  • $16.7 trillion offshore deposit market.


Indeed, Bitcoin has been noted in glowing terms by industry moguls such as:



  • Microsoft Founder Bill Gates (“A technological tour de force.”)

  • SWIFT CEO Gottfried Leibbrandt (“Don’t see why we could not send transactions in Bitcoin as a currency.”)

  • Entrepreneur Marc Andreessen (“Personal computers in 1975, the Internet in 1993, and I believe, Bitcoin in 2014.”)

  • Legg Mason Portfolio Manager Bill Miller (“If it becomes 10% as popular as gold, you can make 120 times your money.”)

  • Fortress Investment Co-CIO Michael Novogratz (“Put a little money in Bitcoin, come back in a few years, and it’s going to be worth a lot.”)


The core value proposition of this network is the fact that, in the words of IBM executive architect Richard Brown, “Bitcoin is a very sophisticated, globally distributed asset ledger.” What Brown and others hint at is that Bitcoin will in the future be able to serve not only as a decentralized currency and payment platform, but also as the backbone for an “Internet of money.”


This entails a decentralized global platform, smartphone- accessible, on which companies and individuals can issue, buy, and sell stocks, bonds, commodities and a myriad of other financial products. The effect will be to remove much of the current bureaucracy and barriers to entry, presenting a huge opportunity for the world’s 2.5 billion unbanked people.


This raises the question: why Bitcoin, and not some other cryptocurrency? The answer may lie in the network effect: of all the cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin is the one with the highest adoption rate and the strongest security. The combined computing power of the Bitcoin mining industry serves as a protective firewall around the payment network, with a replacement cost of at least $1 billion— and it is growing quickly. In short: no other cryptocurrency is as secure as Bitcoin. This attribute in itself attracts more capital, which in turn makes the network even more secure and performant.


Because of its robustness, the Bitcoin network is now the reference protocol for the new paradigm in finance. And just like TCP/IP became the mainstay for the Internet of information, the Bitcoin network will likely become the value anchor for the Internet of money and finance. Speed may be provided by off-chain or side-chain transactions, but for the high-value transactions of tomorrow, Bitcoin could very well become the security-providing reference currency.


So, how much of all this potential is already realized?


Well, since inception of Bitcoin in 2009, its market cap has grown by a minimum of 10 times every year. It now stands at over $8 billion, with an annual turnover of +$50 billion. According to Coinometrics.com, this makes the Bitcoin currency stock more valuable than that of 108 national currencies, including Panama, Macau, Ghana, and Malta. Currently over 80,000 merchants accept Bitcoin as payment.


Enticed by its great potential, venture capital is also warming up to Bitcoin. In 2013, 40 deals were made that raised a total of $74 million, and the 2014 run rate for the year is currently US $250 million. To put this into context, investments in the Internet of 1995 were an inflation-adjusted $387 million— which is why many Bitcoin investors believe we are at a stage similar to the Internet in 1993 or ’94.


Furthermore, the Bitcoin price has been rising at an exponential rate of +1,000% annually. This can be explained mostly by the fact that it is a scarce commodity (maximum supply is 21 million) with a rapidly growing user base. Here are a few possible scenarios for the future value of one bitcoin:


The scenarios projected above are, of course, not cast in stone. Bitcoin faces several risks going forward. These include:



  • Compromised security of the major exchanges,

  • The emergence of a much better digital currency that steals its market lead,

  • An undetected bug in the system,

  • A sustained attack by an organization with substantial computational resources,

  • A coordinated clampdown on Bitcoin by a multi-national entity such as the G20.


How serious of a risk do these challenges pose? Let us examine them.


A better currency is possible, but experience shows that disruptive protocols—such as SMTP for email and TCP/IP for Internet—have proven to be very resilient once adopted by a critical mass of the population.


An organized attack on the network is possible but expensive, and there are many potential defense mechanisms.


As with any software application, the discovery of bugs may destabilize the system, but the open source nature of Bitcoin allows for many eyeballs to help track problems, and many brains to help figure out a solution.


That leaves government clampdown as the most likely risk to Bitcoin. However, with many regulators implicitly or explicitly already accepting Bitcoin, and the robust, decentralized nature of its network, such a move would have little long-term structural impact and is thus unlikely.


Because of its strong network effect, the outcome of the Bitcoin story is likely to be binary: either it will experience a downfall as it is superseded by a vastly superior technology, or the value of bitcoins will rise dramatically over the coming years as an increasing share of the global population adopts the currency.


In any case, to me it’s exceedingly clear that the technology of the cryptocurrencies is here to stay. Bitcoin does not appear to be a fad or bubble, nor merely a one-off hedge against gold. With a risk-reward proposition this attractive, holding a small percentage of bitcoins in one’s portfolio as a speculation on increased adoption may be one of the wisest investment decisions of our age.


This article originally appeared in yBitcoin magazine.



January 30, 2015 at 10:45PM

Bitcoin Processor GoCoin Adds Fiat Payout Options


GoCoin


GoCoin has added three new fiat currencies as payout options for merchants – euros, pound sterling and Singapore dollars.


The announcements come amid a string of new details about the company’s business progress. Since raising $550,000 in November 2013, GoCoin has arguably become a big-three payment processor alongside BitPay and Coinbase due to its agnostic approach to digital currencies, accepting litecoin and dogecoin alongside bitcoin.


In statements, CEO Steve Beauregard asserted that the company has “greatly exceeded its growth projections in 2014”, and is well-positioned for success this year.


"We now have a clear vision of how to focus our efforts in order to drive payments innovation in the sectors that will benefit the most,” Beauregard.


The announcement was made during Beauregard’s keynote address at Inside Bitcoins Singapore, a two-day conference taking place 29th to 30th January at the Suntec Singapore Convention and Exhibition Centre.


GoCoin's full payout terms and conditions can be found on its website.


GoCoin



January 29, 2015 at 08:22PM